How is the world population calculated. Can the earth support 10 billion people? | politics

How is the world population calculated.  Can the earth support 10 billion people?  |  politics
How is the world population calculated.  Can the earth support 10 billion people?  |  politics

How is the world population calculated. Can the earth support 10 billion people? | politics

video duration 03 minutes 16 seconds

According to the United Nations, the world population hit 8 billion yesterday, so how did the United Nations reach this amazing number? And how reliable is it? Can the earth bear ten billion people?

The following report attempts to answer these questions using two reports from two French newspapers.

The newspaper Le Parisien returned The Parisian The reason the United Nations was chosen to mark the occasion is that this international organization is trying to raise awareness of issues related to human reproduction on the planet, but the newspaper pointed out that the margins of error in these numbers are very large are big.

Gael Lombard, a writer for the newspaper, said that to arrive at this number, the organization used the results of 1,758 national censuses taken between 1950 and 2022, the numbers of births and deaths recorded in civil registers, and information derived from 2,890 representative surveys.

According to the author, although the data on 237 countries or regions of the world are intended to cover the entire world population, their reliability cannot be confirmed.

The most reliable source for such statistics, the author says, remains the censuses conducted by each country, but these counts need to be updated, which cannot be verified, especially since the official 2022 world population projections released this summer by the United Nations says literally: “Most countries conduct an annual census about every ten years.” According to the author, 36% of the data used in this latest report is from before 2015.

The Covid-19 pandemic has complicated this matter as it led, for example, to the cancellation of the 2020 census in India and France to halt population surveys.

The author quotes the French geo-expert, Professor at the University of the Syrians, Gerard François Dumont, as saying: “Sometimes heads of state have an interest in increasing their country’s population in order to receive higher international subsidies, which means that the reliable Census is what encompasses all countries in the world and that is not possible,” said Dumont.

The United Nations also gets its information from civil status registers, but these too differ from country to country and, according to the author, are far from complete.

The United Nations uses statistical models to estimate fertility, mortality or migration flows.

Under these circumstances, the author continues, it was arbitrary and of no scientific value to link the date of November 15, 2022 to reaching the threshold of 8 billion world population, especially since it was set last June and has remained the same despite the deaths have not changed in the case of unaccounted for accidents, such as the Ukraine war and the floods in Pakistan.

Approximate Population of Earth (NASA)

Can the planet take this?

And as more and more young people hesitate to have children to save the planet, the United Nations estimates that the world population will reach 10 billion by 2080, so can the planet take it?

The writer spoke about this in the newspaper Le Figaro Le figaro Marie Levine Michalik in a report I started with saying that the world’s population has increased almost eightfold in the last 200 years.

Michalik quoted a geo-expert as saying that nearly 60% of the world’s population lives in countries where the fertility rate today is below the replacement level of 2.1 children per woman and even that rate no longer exceeds one child per woman.

But the expected increase in world population is coming from 10 countries, namely the Democratic Republic of the Congo, Egypt, Ethiopia, India, Nigeria, Pakistan, the Philippines and Tanzania.

This means that the increase will mainly take place in poor countries, and if these countries continue to follow the Western consumption model, as they are doing now, it will lead to large social and security imbalances that may impact the global balance.

The author pointed out that experts do not see the problem in the increase in the number of people, but in their flawed consumption model, since they should reduce meat consumption and waste and get their energy from clean sources, otherwise social and security imbalances may cause some hit countries and have consequences for the global balance.


#world #population #calculated #earth #support #billion #people #politics

Leave a Comment

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *

Scroll to Top